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New RRI Analysis highlights significant risks for industrial concessions when land rights are ignored

Concessions, Private Sector, Forests, Land Rights, Resources RightsThe Rights and Resources Initiative is pleased to announce the release of a new report highlighting the substantial financial risks faced by investors when key players in large scale land acquisitions ignore the rights of local communities and Indigenous Peoples.

The report, released on the eve of the International Conference on Scaling-Up Strategies to Secure Community Land and Resource Rights, is titled Global Capital, Local Concessions: A Data-Driven Examination of Land Tenure Risk and Industrial Concessions in Emerging Market Economies. It was prepared for RRI by The Munden Project.

The report investigates a critical problem for investors in emerging economies: overlapping land claims that diminish the value and viability of industrial concessions. This “land tenure risk” extends across all land-dependent sectors, regardless of concession type.

This landmark analysis asks some difficult questions–and provides viable solutions–for large-scale natural resource investors. Below is a brief preview [Download the full report here].

A Data-Driven Examination of Land Tenure Risk and Industrial Concessions in Emerging Market Economies: A Preview

Using geospatial data from 12 emerging market economies (EMEs), this analysis by The Munden Project attempts to guide investors in emerging markets by shedding light on a difficult problem: overlapping land claims that diminish the value and viability of industrial concessions. The report refers to this as “land tenure risk”.

From these datasets and an examination of research and financial information, the report concludes that land tenure risk is a statistically significant source of risk in EME concession investments. This risk extends across all land-dependent sectors, regardless of concession type and, to the extent they are even used, normal proxies for judging this risk are not likely to help. Furthermore, it is difficult to make a case for insurability against this risk.

Consequently, a different approach for addressing the risk needs to be developed. The analysis concludes with specific thoughts on this topic, emphasizing the importance of field-level data collection and contextualization within macro-level assessments, all of which can be done economically and in a way that matches standard due diligence procedures. Read the full report here.

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